GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Bears in control after close below 76.4% Fib

  • The GBP/USD pair closed below 1.2812 (76.4% Fib R of Aug low/Sept. high) yesterday, bolstering the already bearish setup: downward sloping 5-day and 10-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), RSI below 50.00.
  • Over on the hourly chart, the positive RSI divergence confirmed on Friday failed to yield a notable corrective rally, which indicates the bearish sentiment is quite strong.
  • Further, the falling trendline is still intact and the major EMAs (50,100, and 200) are sloping downwards, indicating the path of least resistance is on the downside.
  • The GBP/USD risks falling further toward 1.2750. A break above1.2858 - the confluence of falling trendline and the 50-hour EMA - would invalidate the bearish setup.

Hourly Chart

Trend: Bearish

GBP/USD

Overview:
    Last Price: 1.2804
    Daily change: 11 pips
    Daily change: 0.0860%
    Daily Open: 1.2793
Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 1.3034
    Daily SMA50: 1.3022
    Daily SMA100: 1.306
    Daily SMA200: 1.3453
Levels:
    Daily High: 1.2854
    Daily Low: 1.2792
    Weekly High: 1.3092
    Weekly Low: 1.2777
    Monthly High: 1.33
    Monthly Low: 1.2786
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1.2816
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1.2831
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 1.2772
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 1.2751
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 1.2709
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 1.2834
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 1.2876
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 1.2897

 

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