Brent oil prints low below $40 on falling prospects of production freeze

Brent prices fell to $39.78 levels after reports hit the wires that the planned OPEC and non-OPEC meeting may be cancelled due Iran’s reluctance to agree to production freeze.

Back above 5-DMA

Prices are back above 5-DMA located at 40.04 levels. Oil rose to fresh 2016 high this week on optimism major producers may reach a production freeze accord at Jan 20 meeting. In fact, traders ignored the data released in the US, which showed stocks at record highs.

However, the latest report is a reality check to the markets. Moreover, Iran has repeatedly said that it is no mood to freeze production and actually called the strategy ridiculous a few weeks back.

Brent Technical Levels

Futures currently trade around $40.15/barrel. The immediate hurdle is seen at 40.73 (50% of Aug 31 high-Jan low), above which prices could re-test 41.14 (previous day’s high). On the other hand, a break below 5-DMA at 40.04 would shift risk in favor of a drop to 39.29 (Mar 29 low).

OPEC and non-OPEC meet unlikely to happen as Iran yet to commit to output freeze

Reports are doing the rounds that a much anticipated meeting between OPEC and non-OPEC producers may not happen as Iran is yet to commit to production freeze.
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